We’re not sure what surfers are going over, but we do know there is a big swell hitting Tahiti on Monday/Tuesday and another one right behind.
Archive for the ‘Weather’ Category
This morning on tv
Cory Lopez going right at Teahupoo
We wish the news was right about the surf more often then not
We promise we watch the weather for the surf report and not the for the hot news anchor
Hurricane Miriam has become the fourth Major Hurricane of the 2012 Eastern pacific Hurricane Season achieving Category 3 intensity this morning with winds topping 120mph. Of more concern to Baja is the continued curve of the projected track of the storm. Current forecast tracks have the system making landfall near San Ignacio on the Pacific coast of Baja California Sur next weekend. Forecasts call for Miriam to be of tropical storm intensity at that time. Hurricane Miriam os about 410 miles south-southwest of Cabo San Lucas.
Current forecasts call for this system to become a hurricane as early as tonight and slowly turn from WNW to NW and move harmlessly off into the Pacific. Surfline is claiming we will get surf from this Wednesday morning.
Wednesday, September 12, 2012 3:51 PM MDT Tropical Depression 11E has spawned Tropical Storm Kristy off the southern coast of Mexico about 170 miles south-southwest of Cabo Corientes on the mainland or about 380 miles southeast of Cabo San Lucas. The system is forecast to remain a tropical storm through Friday. On Friday the storm is forecast to cross the 26°C thermo line and will begin to dissiapte.
Tropical Storm Kristy is located near 18.2N 106.9W and is moving 305° at 10kts. Central barometric pressure is estimated at 1005Mb and winds are 40kts with gusts to 50kts, making the system of mild tropical storm intensity. Forecasts call for TS Kristy to strengthen slowly and very little over the next 36hrs, remaining a tropical storm through Friday as it moves well southwest of the Baja peninsula. Early forecasts call for then TS Kristy to pose little threat to the Baja peninsula. Current tracks place the closest approach of the storm to Cabo San Lucas as about 200 miles on Friday morning. It is possible that the southern most extremes of the peninsula may see some spin-off rain from the system as it passes. Heightened surf of short period will occur along south and southwest facing beaches.
Monday, October 10, 2011 8:05 AM MDT Category 3 Major Hurricane Jova continues to strengthen and is forecast possibly even become a Category 4 Hurricane before making landfall late Tuesday on the southwest coast of mainland Mexico. Hurricane Jova is currently about 255 miles SW of Manzanillo, or about 500 miles SSE of Cabo San Lucas.
Other than heavy surf along south facing beaches Jova is not likely to significantly affect Baja weather at this time.
Hurricane Jova is currently located near 16.3N 107.0W and is moving 85° at 4kts. Central barometric pressure is estimated at 960Mb and winds are 105kts with gusts to 130kts, making Jova a Category 3 Hurricane. Jova is another small storm, like last month’s Hurricane Hilary. Hurricane force winds extend out 15 miles, tropical storm force winds extend out as much as 80 miles and 12ft seas extend out as much as 300 miles.
Hurricane Jova is forecast to continually move over warmer waters as it approaches the mainland will thusly continue to strengthen right up until the time of landfall. Current forecasts call for a Category 3 landfall somewhere near Barra de Navidad on the Mexican mainland sometime Tuesday evening.
The Pacific coast of Mexico has so far this season been spared landfall of a hurricane. Jova stands to make amends for that oversight and will plow into the southwest coast of Mexico sometime Tuesday night. Should Jova make landfall as a Major Hurricane wide spread destruction can be anticipated along the coast from storm surge to 15′. Wide spread flooding and extensive wind damage will occur. In short, this will be a major natural disaster. Orders to evacuate should be observed.
Jova will be the 5th Major Hurricane of 2011. Normally the Eastern Pacific spawns 3.2 Major Hurricanes per year.